Friday, April 13, 2007
So Long Peter McKay
Stephane Dion stole my idea. I Swear to God I've been procrastinating since Tuesday on a post that was to be entitled "Liberals, NDP should back May in Central Nova". What do I read in the paper this morning? Dion will not run a Liberal candidate in Central Nova. This is awesome news. Last election the voting went down like so, Con-17134, NDP-13861, Libs-10349, Greens-671. May would still have to pick up much of the NDP support to win but this stealthy move puts her much closer to victory. Jack Layton do the right thing and pull the Dipper in the riding too. I know this arrangement will not sit well with fierce partisans from any of the progressive parties but we all need to keep our eye on the ball here. This is the potential end of Conservative cabinet minister and Condaleeza lover Peter McKay. The man who sold out David Orchard, the PC's and the whole country by going back on his word and merging with the Alliance there bye spawning the evil, twisted and sitting in fucking government CPC. All three progressive parties, hell even the Bloc should look at other riding's where a little co-operation might bring down a fascist. Dont worry Peter you'll still have your dog.
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8 comments:
get a life.
I liked your post and agree. Progressives have in common many things against the current government.
btw: to whoever wrote 'get a life,' that has been the dumbest thing I've seen today (but, it is still early).
Peter must think Friday the 13th is his lucky day.He will smile all the way to Election Day
If it was truly about defeating McKay then why aren't the Liberals bowing to the NDP? The NDP finished a strong 2nd (8% back) while the Liberals finished 8% back of the NDP.
This is a move to marginalize the NDP, pure and simple, something that the Green/Liberals will benefit from. So I don't understand why the "right thing" is for the NDP to hop into bed as well. Explain that to me.
Yeah, the NDP aren't going to pull out, their going to pour everything they've got into the riding in the hopes that enough Greens and Liberals will jump ship that it will move them from second to first.
The only way this works for May is if she gets ALL of the Liberals votes PLUS a bunch of NDP votes. Basically, the Greens need to keep all those Liberal votes AND add 8%. The NDP only have to add 8% to what they got last time, and they have to figure some Liberals would rather vote NDP than Green, and that some Greens will see this as selling out to the Liberals, and will flip to the NDP too.
The Greens just greatly increased their chances of winning Central Nova (which couldn't have been much lower with only 1.5% of the vote last time) but in doing so, they also greatly increased the chances of the NDP winning the riding.
Me, I'm starting to mentally prepare myself for the Tory majority. I now get the feeling that "progressives" are going to eat themselves alive.
Sean.s.
It's the right thing for the country man. Your right that there is very little in it for the NDP though. Perhaps May or Dion could pull out of an Ontario seat where the NDP is strong and let them win. The possibilities are endless and delicious. It may even be possible though I admit that I haven't looked at the numbers to divide up Ontario in such a way that both parties end up with more seats.
Looking at the numbers from the 2006 election in Central Nova riding:
Tories - 2006: 17,134
Liberals - 2006: 10,349
NDP - 2006: 13,861
Green - 2006: 671
So if all the Liberal support goes to the Greens, which is impossible, they will still be approximately 7000 votes behind. There is no way Elizabeth May will win that riding.
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